Saturday’s contest that pits the Samford Bulldogs (17-5, 7-2 SoCon) versus the Citadel Bulldogs (5-15, 0-9 SoCon) at McAlister Field House has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 82-67 in favor of Samford, who is heavily favored by our model. Game time is at 1:00 PM ET on February 1.

According to our computer prediction, Citadel projects to cover the 16.5-point spread in its matchup versus Samford. The over/under is currently listed at 143.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Samford vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Charleston, South Carolina
• Venue: McAlister Field House
• Line: Samford -16.5
• Point total: 143.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -3030, Citadel +1120

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Samford vs. Citadel Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 82, Citadel 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: Citadel (+16.5)
• Pick OU: Over (143.5)

Samford has compiled a 10-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Citadel is 6-10-0. The Samford Bulldogs have hit the over in seven games, while Citadel Bulldogs games have gone over eight times. The two teams score an average of 152.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Samford is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its past 10 games, while Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Samford Bulldogs have a +228 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.4 points per game. They’re putting up 83.8 points per game to rank 17th in college basketball and are giving up 73.4 per outing to rank 236th in college basketball.
• The 31.8 rebounds per game Samford averages rank 218th in college basketball. Its opponents collect 31.6 per contest.
• Samford connects on 10.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball) at a 37.5% rate (30th in college basketball), compared to the 7.8 per game its opponents make at a 31.8% rate.
• The Samford Bulldogs rank 61st in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 105th in college basketball defensively with 89 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Samford has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.7 per game (296th in college basketball play) while forcing 15.1 (10th in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

• The Citadel Bulldogs’ -116 scoring differential (being outscored by 5.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 68.4 points per game (314th in college basketball) while allowing 74.2 per outing (256th in college basketball).
• The 31.8 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 218th in the nation, 1.4 fewer than the 33.2 its opponents collect.
• Citadel connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (141st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.5 on average.
• Citadel has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 12.5 (281st in college basketball) while forcing 10.6 (271st in college basketball).

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