Wednesday’s game between the No. 20 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3) and No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) at Dean E. Smith Center should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 85-83, with North Carolina coming out on top. Tipoff is at 7:15 PM ET on December 4.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus Alabama. The two sides are expected to come in below the 176.5 total.

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North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
• Time: 7:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
• Line: North Carolina -1.5
• Point total: 176.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -122, Alabama +102

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North Carolina vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 85, Alabama 83

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (176.5)

North Carolina’s record against the spread so far this season is 3-4-0, and Alabama’s is 3-5-0. A total of six out of the Tar Heels’ games this season have hit the over, and five of the Crimson Tide’s games have gone over. The two teams score 178.3 points per game, 1.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels have a +67 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.6 points per game. They’re putting up 89.7 points per game to rank seventh in college basketball and are giving up 80.1 per outing to rank 337th in college basketball.
• The 34.7 rebounds per game North Carolina averages rank 120th in the nation. Its opponents grab 33.9 per contest.
• North Carolina knocks down 8.3 three-pointers per game (147th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 9.0 on average.
• The Tar Heels average 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (20th in college basketball), and allow 96.8 points per 100 possessions (305th in college basketball).
• North Carolina forces 10.0 turnovers per game (317th in college basketball) while committing 9.3 (24th in college basketball play).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 10.6 points per game (posting 88.6 points per game, 11th in college basketball, and giving up 78.0 per outing, 316th in college basketball) and have a +85 scoring differential.
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 8.8 boards on average. It records 40.3 rebounds per game, eighth in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.5.
• Alabama hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (54th in college basketball) at a 32.6% rate (214th in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make, at a 29.5% rate.
• Alabama has committed 12.0 turnovers per game (207th in college basketball), 2.7 more than the 9.3 it forces (340th in college basketball).

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