The Atlanta Falcons will play the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts that the Saints will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons are putting up 16.3 points per game on offense (26th in NFL), and they rank 13th on the other side of the ball with 20.3 points allowed per game. The Saints have been a top-five unit on both offense and defense this season, as they rank second-best in points per game (34.3) and fifth-best in points surrendered per game (14.7).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
• Atlanta has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
• So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have gone over the point total.
• Falcons games have had an average of 45.2 points this season, 4.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
• New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• This year, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
• The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

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