Wednesday’s contest features the Samford Bulldogs (18-5, 8-2 SoCon) and the Mercer Bears (11-12, 4-6 SoCon) matching up at Pete Hanna Center in what should be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 84-71 win for heavily favored Samford according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET on February 5.

Based on our computer prediction, Samford is projected to cover the spread (11.5) against Mercer. The two sides are expected to come in below the 157.5 total.

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Samford vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Birmingham, Alabama
• Venue: Pete Hanna Center
• Line: Samford -11.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -699, Mercer +470

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Samford vs. Mercer Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 84, Mercer 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Mercer

• Pick ATS: Samford (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Samford is 11-10-0 against the spread, while Mercer’s ATS record this season is 12-9-0. The Bulldogs have a 7-14-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bears have a record of 10-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 163.4 points per game, 5.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Samford is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Mercer has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +253 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.0 points per game. They’re putting up 83.7 points per game to rank 15th in college basketball and are giving up 72.7 per outing to rank 221st in college basketball.
• Samford pulls down 31.9 rebounds per game (210th in college basketball) compared to the 31.0 of its opponents.
• Samford knocks down 2.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.8 (fifth-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.9.
• The Bulldogs rank 47th in college basketball by averaging 102.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 91st in college basketball, allowing 88.6 points per 100 possessions.
• Samford has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 12.9 per game (311th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.0 (12th in college basketball).

Mercer Performance Insights

• The Bears outscore opponents by 4.4 points per game (posting 79.7 points per game, 60th in college basketball, and giving up 75.3 per contest, 283rd in college basketball) and have a +101 scoring differential.
• Mercer records 35.7 rebounds per game (35th in college basketball), compared to the 35.3 of its opponents.
• Mercer hits 9.0 three-pointers per game (66th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.6 on average.
• Mercer wins the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 11.7 (225th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.4.

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