Wednesday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) and No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) squaring off at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 82-78 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will start at 9:00 PM ET on January 29.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 164.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -1.5
• Point total: 164.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -111, Mississippi State -108

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 82, Mississippi State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Alabama (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (164.5)

Alabama has compiled an 11-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi State is 9-11-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Crimson Tide are 11-9-0 and the Bulldogs are 10-10-0. The two teams score an average of 171.1 points per game, 6.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its past 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 11.9 points per game (scoring 90.4 points per game to rank first in college basketball while giving up 78.5 per contest to rank 332nd in college basketball) and have a +237 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It collects 40.6 rebounds per game, which ranks third in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.0 per contest.
• Alabama connects on 9.9 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 32.5% from deep (248th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.1%.
• The Crimson Tide rank 39th in college basketball by averaging 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 123rd in college basketball, allowing 89.6 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama loses the turnover battle by 1.6 per game, committing 12.1 (259th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.5.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 80.7 points per game (43rd in college basketball) while allowing 69.5 per contest (117th in college basketball). They have a +223 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game.
• The 36.3 rebounds per game Mississippi State accumulates rank 27th in the country, 4.3 more than the 32.0 its opponents grab.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Mississippi State has won the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.0 (49th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (58th in college basketball).

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