Alabama vs. LSU Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 25

Published 2:28 pm Friday, January 24, 2025

Saturday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (16-3, 5-1 SEC) and the LSU Tigers (12-6, 1-4 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum should be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 87-72 and heavily favors Alabama to take home the win. Tipoff is at 8:30 PM ET on January 25.

Based on our computer prediction, LSU projects to cover the 16.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama. The over/under has been set at 165.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Alabama vs. LSU Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -16.5
  • Point total: 165.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -2500, LSU +1100

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Alabama vs. LSU Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 87, LSU 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. LSU

  • Pick ATS: LSU (+16.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Alabama has an 11-8-0 record against the spread this season compared to LSU, who is 9-9-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Crimson Tide are 11-8-0 and the Tigers are 8-10-0. The teams average 170.6 points per game, 5.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 contests, while LSU has gone 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide’s +230 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 90.9 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 78.8 per contest (332nd in college basketball).
  • Alabama ranks third in the country at 40.8 rebounds per game. That’s 8.2 more than the 32.6 its opponents average.
  • Alabama makes 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (7.1). It is shooting 32.5% from beyond the arc (256th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 30.0%.
  • The Crimson Tide average 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (34th in college basketball), and give up 90.0 points per 100 possessions (136th in college basketball).
  • Alabama has committed 1.7 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.0 (243rd in college basketball play) while forcing 10.3 (307th in college basketball).

LSU Performance Insights

  • The Tigers have a +181 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. They’re putting up 79.7 points per game, 65th in college basketball, and are allowing 69.6 per outing to rank 122nd in college basketball.
  • LSU prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.0 boards. It pulls down 35.7 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.7.
  • LSU connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (143rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
  • LSU and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Tigers commit 12.9 per game (306th in college basketball) and force 12.1 (156th in college basketball).

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