Kentucky vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 18
Published 10:28 am Friday, January 17, 2025
Saturday’s game that pits the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) against the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) at Rupp Arena is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 83-82 in favor of Kentucky. Tipoff is at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.
According to our computer prediction, Alabama is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 178.5 total.
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Kentucky -1.5
- Point total: 178.5
- Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -132, Alabama +110
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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 83, Alabama 82
Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (178.5)
Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams put up 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 less than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats’ +240 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 88.7 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 74.6 per outing (265th in college basketball).
- Kentucky grabs 36.4 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while conceding 32.5 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.9 boards per game.
- Kentucky connects on 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball), 2.4 more than its opponents (7.7).
- The Wildcats score 107.7 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball), while allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions (151st in college basketball).
- Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.5 per game (19th in college basketball) and force 10.5 (291st in college basketball action).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game (posting 89.5 points per game, first in college basketball, and giving up 77.2 per outing, 310th in college basketball) and have a +209 scoring differential.
- Alabama wins the rebound battle by an average of 8.6 boards. It collects 40.9 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.3.
- Alabama connects on 10 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 3.4 more than its opponents.
- Alabama loses the turnover battle by 1.8 per game, committing 12.2 (254th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.4.
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