Wednesday’s game at Hawkins Arena has the Samford Bulldogs (14-3, 4-0 SoCon) taking on the Mercer Bears (9-8, 2-2 SoCon) at 7:00 PM ET on January 15. Our computer prediction projects a 84-76 victory for Samford, who are favored by our model.

According to our computer prediction, Samford projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Mercer. The over/under has been set at 164.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Samford vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 15, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Macon, Georgia
• Venue: Hawkins Arena
• Line: Samford -5.5
• Point total: 164.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -250, Mercer +198

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Samford vs. Mercer Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 84, Mercer 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Mercer

• Pick ATS: Samford (-5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (164.5)

Samford has an 8-7-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mercer, who is 9-6-0 ATS. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in seven games, while Bears games have gone over eight times. The two teams score 169.4 points per game, 4.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Samford is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its last 10 games, while Mercer has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 12.6 points per game (scoring 87.5 points per game to rank fifth in college basketball while giving up 74.9 per contest to rank 275th in college basketball) and have a +214 scoring differential overall.
• Samford is 203rd in the country at 32.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.8 its opponents average.
• Samford hits 11.8 three-pointers per game (third-most in college basketball) at a 37.9% rate (31st in college basketball), compared to the 8 per game its opponents make at a 33.2% rate.
• The Bulldogs average 103.9 points per 100 possessions (38th in college basketball), while giving up 88.9 points per 100 possessions (118th in college basketball).
• Samford has committed 3.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.7 (286th in college basketball action) while forcing 16.5 (third in college basketball).

Mercer Performance Insights

• The Bears are outscoring opponents by 5.9 points per game, with a +101 scoring differential overall. They put up 81.9 points per game (41st in college basketball) and allow 76 per contest (296th in college basketball).
• Mercer grabs 35.8 rebounds per game (46th in college basketball), compared to the 34.9 of its opponents.
• Mercer connects on 9.1 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) at a 33.9% rate (181st in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 its opponents make, shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc.
• Mercer wins the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 12.6 (280th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.5.

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