Samford vs. Citadel Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 1

Published 2:28 pm Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Wednesday’s game between the Samford Bulldogs (10-3, 0-0 SoCon) and Citadel Bulldogs (5-6, 0-0 SoCon) at Pete Hanna Center has a projected final score of 86-69 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Samford, so it should be a one-sided matchup. The game will start at 7:30 PM ET on January 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Citadel is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 19.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 153.5 total.

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Samford vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Birmingham, Alabama
  • Venue: Pete Hanna Center
  • Line: Samford -19.5
  • Point total: 153.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Samford -4545, Citadel +1600

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Samford vs. Citadel Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Samford 86, Citadel 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. Citadel

  • Pick ATS: Citadel (+19.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (153.5)

Samford has a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season compared to Citadel, who is 3-4-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Samford Bulldogs are 7-4-0 and the Citadel Bulldogs are 4-3-0. The teams score 162.5 points per game, 9.0 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Samford Performance Insights

  • The Samford Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game with a +145 scoring differential overall. They put up 89.0 points per game (fourth in college basketball) and give up 77.8 per contest (322nd in college basketball).
  • The 32.5 rebounds per game Samford averages rank 218th in college basketball. Its opponents grab 33.5 per outing.
  • Samford hits 11.7 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in college basketball) at a 38.0% rate (40th in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per game its opponents make at a 32.2% rate.
  • The Samford Bulldogs average 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (60th in college basketball), and give up 90.3 points per 100 possessions (172nd in college basketball).
  • Samford has committed 12.7 turnovers per game (276th in college basketball play), 3.8 fewer than the 16.5 it forces on average (fourth in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

  • The Citadel Bulldogs have a +14 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.2 points per game. They’re putting up 73.5 points per game, 242nd in college basketball, and are allowing 72.3 per contest to rank 212th in college basketball.
  • The 35.4 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 71st in college basketball, 5.0 more than the 30.4 its opponents record.
  • Citadel knocks down 8.5 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) while shooting 29.8% from beyond the arc (326th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 33.8%.
  • Citadel has lost the turnover battle by 1.7 per game, committing 12.7 (276th in college basketball) while forcing 11.0 (265th in college basketball).

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