A victory by the Washington Commanders over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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On the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by averaging 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). In terms of total yards, the Falcons rank ninth in the NFL (360.9 total yards per game) and 16th on the other side of the ball (335.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 39.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta has covered six times in 15 games with a spread this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• In Atlanta’s 15 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (postseason included) of 46.

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington has put together a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Commanders are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over 10 out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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