The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat have put together a 14-14-0 ATS record this season compared to the 13-18-0 mark of the Hawks.
• Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
• When it comes to topping the over/under in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents aren’t as successful (53.6% of the time) as Atlanta and its opponents (64.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite this season, the Hawks are 7-7, a better record than the Heat have posted (4-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ offense, which ranks eighth in the league with 117.2 points per game, has performed better than their fourth-worst defense (119.5 points allowed per game).
• Atlanta is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking fourth-best in the league with 46 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 17th with 44 rebounds allowed per contest.
• The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are averaging 29.7 per game (third-best in NBA).
• Although Atlanta is committing 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks are sinking 12.6 threes per game (20th-ranked in NBA) this year, while sporting a 35.1% three-point percentage (18th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

• In 2024-25, the Heat are 19th in the NBA offensively (111.3 points scored per game) and sixth defensively (108.6 points allowed).
• In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the NBA in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• Miami is the fourth-best team in the league in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• The Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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