NBA Best Bets: Thunder vs. Hawks Picks for October 27

Published 4:45 am Sunday, October 27, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0) face the Atlanta Hawks (2-0) as 9.5-point favorites on Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on FDSOK and FDSSE.

For the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions, keep reading.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info

  • When: Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: FDSOK and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Thunder vs. Hawks Best Bets

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Chet Holmgren Over 18.5 PTS

  • Last season the Thunder were the NBA’s third-ranked team offensively (120.1 points per game), while the Hawks ranked 28th defensively in points per game (120.5) in the league.
  • Last season the Thunder put up 120.1 points per game, only 0.4 fewer points than the 120.5 the Hawks conceded.

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Trae Young Over 25.5 PTS

  • Atlanta had the NBA’s fifth-ranked offense (118.3 points per game) a season ago, while Oklahoma City was 11th-ranked on defense, conceding 112.7 points on average.
  • Atlanta went 29-25 when it scored more than 112.7 points.

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Pick ATS: Thunder (- 9.5)

  • Against the spread, Oklahoma City was 47-35-0 last year.
  • Against the spread, Atlanta was 29-53-0 last year.
  • The Thunder’s ATS record as 9.5-point favorites or more was 13-8 last year.
  • The Hawks went 5-4 as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater last season.

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Pick OU:

Under (231.5)

  • The Thunder and their opponents went over 231.5 combined points in 44 of 82 games last season.
  • The Hawks games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 231.5 points in 48 of 82 outings.
  • Oklahoma City’s matchups last season had an average of 232.2 points, 0.7 more than this game’s over/under.
  • The average number of points in Atlanta’s contests last year was 235.1, which is 3.6 more points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-450)

  • The Thunder went 46-14 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 76.7% of those games).
  • Last season, the Hawks were the underdog 39 times and won 12, or 30.8%, of those games.
  • When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -450 or shorter last year, Oklahoma City had a record of 18-2 (90%).
  • Atlanta had a record of 3-6, a 33.3% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +333 or more by oddsmakers last season.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 81.8%.

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