Our computer model projects a win for the Atlanta Falcons when they play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons are totaling 309.3 yards per game on offense this year (19th in NFL), and they are allowing 336.5 yards per game (19th) on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive standpoint, the Buccaneers are compiling 319 total yards per game (16th-ranked). They rank 18th in the NFL on defense (335.3 total yards given up per game).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 55.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have been favored by 1.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
• Atlanta games have hit the over just once this season.
• The total for this game is 44, 0.3 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season (postseason included).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The Buccaneers have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Tampa Bay has covered three times in four games with a spread this season.
• The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• This season, games featuring Tampa Bay have hit the over twice.
• The average total for Buccaneers games (playoffs included) is 44.1 points, 0.1 more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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