Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

Our computer model predicts a victory for the Pittsburgh Steelers when they play the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Falcons ranked 26th in scoring offense (18.9 points per game) and 18th in scoring defense (21.9 points allowed per game) last year. The Steelers averaged 304.3 yards per game on offense last season (25th in NFL), and they ranked 21st on the other side of the ball with 342.1 yards allowed per game.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (+3.5) Under (41.5) Steelers 22, Falcons 17

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
  • Atlanta went 5-12-0 ATS last season.
  • The Falcons covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Atlanta games.
  • The over/under in this game is 41.5 points, 1.4 higher than the average total in Falcons games last season.

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Steelers Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Steelers.
  • Pittsburgh won 10 games against the spread last season, failing to cover seven times.
  • The Steelers were 3-0 ATS last year when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • A total of six of Pittsburgh games last season hit the over.
  • Steelers games averaged 38.8 total points last season, 2.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.9 21.9 24.0 20.3 14.3 23.4
Steelers 17.9 19.1 18.3 19.2 17.4 18.9

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